000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152041
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
2100 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 128.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 128.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 127.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.3N 128.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 130.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.5N 132.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.7N 134.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 143.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N 148.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 128.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI