000
WTPA22 PHFO 071433
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
1500 UTC MON AUG 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 148.3W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 150SE  75SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 148.3W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 147.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.2N 151.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  35SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.0N 154.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  35SE  35SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.0N 158.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.2N 162.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 12.6N 166.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.1N 170.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 177.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 177.0E
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 148.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA