000
WTPA22 PHFO 070832
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
0900 UTC MON AUG 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 146.3W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  45SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE  75SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 146.3W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 145.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.4N 149.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  35SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.3N 152.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  35SE  35SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 12.2N 156.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 12.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  35SE  25SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.5N 164.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 65NE  35SE  25SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 12.9N 168.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   5SW  20NW.
34 KT... 65NE  35SE  25SW  55NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 14.5N 175.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 16.5N 178.5E
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 146.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA