000
WTPA22 PHFO 250841
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082020
0900 UTC SAT JUL 25 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND
MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...LANAI...MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNING IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...LANAI...MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...LANAI...MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHING THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...AND IN THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 146.7W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  40SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 170SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 146.7W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 145.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.3N 149.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.3N 151.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.1N 154.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.8N 157.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.4N 160.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.9N 164.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 24.0N 171.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 25.0N 177.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 146.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 25/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA