000
WTPA22 PHFO 250233
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082020
0300 UTC SAT JUL 25 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNING IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...LANAI...MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...AND IN THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 145.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 145.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 144.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.8N 147.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.0N 150.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.8N 153.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.4N 156.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.0N 159.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.6N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 24.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 25.0N 175.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 145.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 25/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD