000
WTPA22 PHFO 241436
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082020
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DOUGLAS. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND CHAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 141.9W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  50SW  85NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 170SE 120SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 141.9W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 141.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.4N 144.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.6N 147.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.6N 150.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.5N 153.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.1N 156.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.7N 158.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 22.5N 165.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.5N 171.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 141.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA