000
WTNT25 KNHC 160643
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE TEDDY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0700 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  48.7W AT 16/0700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  40SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  48.7W AT 16/0700Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  48.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N  49.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  50SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N  50.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N  52.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N  53.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.6N  54.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N  56.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 26.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 29.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  48.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE