000
WTNT25 KNHC 222035
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  47.8W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  47.8W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  48.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.2N  47.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 180SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 190SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N  45.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 190SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N  45.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 24.5N  47.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N  46.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  47.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA