000
WTNT25 KNHC 231439
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102012
1500 UTC THU AUG 23 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  42.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  42.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  41.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.0N  44.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.1N  46.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.4N  49.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.9N  52.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.9N  59.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 28.5N  63.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 33.5N  62.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  42.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN