000
WTNT25 KNHC 290234
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  74.9W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  74.9W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  75.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.7N  73.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.5N  70.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.0N  64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 47.3N  58.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 51.5N  45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 53.5N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 56.0N  14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  74.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN