000
WTNT25 KNHC 282032
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  75.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  75.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.7N  75.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.3N  73.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.9N  68.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.5N  61.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 50.5N  49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 180SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 53.0N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 55.0N  22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N  75.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN