000
WTNT24 KNHC 111449
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192023
1500 UTC WED OCT 11 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  34.4W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  34.4W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  34.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 11.2N  35.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 11.7N  37.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.4N  38.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.1N  40.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.1N  41.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.1N  43.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N  45.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N  48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N  34.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CAMPOSANO/CANGIALOSI