000
WTNT24 KNHC 111439
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  40.0W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  40.0W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.6N  40.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.8N  40.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.9N  40.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.6N  41.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.7N  41.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.8N  41.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 37.1N  40.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 37.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  40.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/TAYLOR