000
WTNT24 KNHC 131442
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142022
1500 UTC THU OCT 13 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM 
ALVARADO EASTWARD TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH 
NORTH OF ALVARADO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALVARADO TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  93.9W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 155 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  93.9W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  94.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.0N  93.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N  93.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.1N  93.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N  94.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N  95.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  93.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 13/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN