000
WTNT24 KNHC 050254
TCMAT4
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH AND WEST OF
FIRE ISLAND INLET...WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON...AND WEST OF NEW 
HAVEN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
HARBOR
* NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  68.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......140NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 280SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  68.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.9N  68.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 160SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 38.7N  69.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.2N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.8N  69.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 40.6N  67.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 42.5N  63.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N  68.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN