000 WTNT24 KNHC 021448 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM DUCK NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WEST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA AND FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST SOUTH OF NASSAU SOUND FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NASSAU SOUND TO SOUTH OF FENWICK ISLAND * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD * TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FENWICK ISLAND TO WEST OF WATCH HILL * SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 82.0W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 210SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 82.0W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 82.8W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N 79.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.4N 76.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 190SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.7N 73.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 190SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.5N 72.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 38.1N 72.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.8N 71.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 39.3N 71.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 82.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN