000 WTNT24 KNHC 012043 TCMAT4 HURRICANE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 2100 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES ATLANTIC COAST NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK...NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF DUCK TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD... AND THE SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER * WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER * WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO DUCK * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DUCK TO SANDY HOOK * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD * SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 85.0W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......150NE 160SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 150SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 85.0W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 85.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.2N 83.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.4N 81.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 78.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.3N 75.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.0N 72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 38.5N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 85.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH