000 WTNT24 KNHC 011456 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SURF CITY TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER * WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER * WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE * MARINELAND TO SURF CITY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 86.0W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 86.0W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 86.2W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N 84.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 82.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.1N 80.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.2N 76.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.0N 72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 38.5N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 86.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH