000
WTNT24 KNHC 232040
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
2100 UTC SUN AUG 23 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  59.0W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  59.0W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N  60.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N  63.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.6N  66.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.2N  68.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.6N  73.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  59.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH