000
WTNT24 KNHC 241449
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  73.1W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  73.1W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  73.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.2N  73.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.9N  73.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.7N  73.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.6N  74.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 29.3N  74.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 32.2N  73.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 35.0N  67.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  73.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART