000
WTNT24 KNHC 211435
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142010
1500 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  31.7W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  31.7W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  31.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.3N  31.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.7N  31.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N  32.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  33.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.1N  34.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.9N  35.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.0N  37.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  31.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART