000
WTNT24 KNHC 210849
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142010
0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  31.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 35NE  35SE   0SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  31.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  31.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.0N  31.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.4N  31.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N  31.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  32.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.8N  34.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N  35.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  31.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN