000
WTNT24 KNHC 210231
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  31.9W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  31.9W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  31.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N  31.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.0N  31.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.4N  31.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.9N  32.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.1N  34.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 22.0N  35.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 23.5N  35.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  31.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI