333 
WTNT23 KNHC 070243
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  47.7W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  47.7W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  47.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N  49.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N  51.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.1N  54.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.1N  56.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N  58.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.8N  60.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.0N  66.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  47.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG