000
WTNT23 KNHC 032039
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014
2100 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  73.2W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  73.2W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  72.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.8N  73.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.6N  73.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.7N  71.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 40.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 46.0N  53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  73.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH