000
WTNT23 KNHC 101457
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032013
1500 UTC WED JUL 10 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
JAMAICA
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* JAMAICA
 
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  72.0W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  70 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  72.0W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  71.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.1N  75.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N  78.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.0N  80.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  72.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA