000
WTNT23 KNHC 101449
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
1500 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  46.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  46.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  45.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.8N  47.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.5N  48.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 41.2N  46.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 45.9N  42.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 54.0N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  46.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN