000
WTNT23 KNHC 280238
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
0300 UTC FRI OCT 28 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  87.2W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  25SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  87.2W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  87.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N  86.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N  86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.5N  86.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.0N  86.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.0N  87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  87.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA