000
WTNT23 KNHC 171431
TCMAT3
HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  45.2W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 65NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......125NE 105SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 180SE 110SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  45.2W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  44.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.7N  47.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE  40SW  65NW.
34 KT...145NE 120SE  75SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N  50.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  75SW 145NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.6N  52.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  85SW 145NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N  55.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  65SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 105SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 31.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  45.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS