000 WTNT22 KNHC 090256 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022 0300 UTC WED NOV 09 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * BOCA RATON TO FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANDROS ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...AND ELEUTHERA IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * HALLANDALE BEACH FLORIDA TO BOCA RATON FLORIDA * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH PALM BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA * MOUTH OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER TO GEORGETOWN FLORIDA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HALLANDALE BEACH TO BOCA RATON FLORIDA * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF NORTH PALM BEACH TO HALLANDALE BEACH FLORIDA * ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA * ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF FLORIDA * NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FLORIDA * NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 74.8W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......300NE 240SE 30SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 240SE 210SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 74.8W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 74.3W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.9N 76.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...320NE 140SE 60SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.9N 78.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...360NE 90SE 80SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.9N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...270NE 90SE 80SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.7N 83.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.8N 83.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.3N 80.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 47.5N 64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 74.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 09/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH