867 WTNT22 KNHC 261457 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * ST. LUCIA * DOMINICA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIRK AS ADDITIONAL WARNINGS OR WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 54.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 54.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 53.4W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.7N 56.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.7N 58.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.2N 63.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 16.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 16.0N 76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 54.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH