000
WTNT22 KNHC 101453
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
1500 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  38.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 130 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  38.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  38.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.9N  37.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 30.2N  37.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.8N  36.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N  36.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.2N  33.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N  28.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N  21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  38.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART