000
WTNT22 KNHC 100831
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
0900 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  38.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  38.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  38.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.7N  38.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.8N  37.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.2N  37.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  36.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 33.0N  30.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 35.5N  23.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  38.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI