000 WTNT22 KNHC 190837 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL TO HULL * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON * NEW HAVEN TO WATCH HILL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 71.3W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT.......120NE 70SE 90SW 130NW. 34 KT.......270NE 180SE 140SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 270SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 71.3W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 71.4W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.1N 71.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 80SE 90SW 130NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.5N 70.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.6N 68.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N 67.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.3N 66.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 140SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 38.7N 66.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 38.5N 67.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 71.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE