000 WTNT22 KNHC 181446 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WATCH HILL... RHODE ISLAND... TO HULL... MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND... MARTHA'S VINEYARD... AND NANTUCKET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL TO HULL * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK * DELAWARE BAY SOUTH * EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO WATCH HILL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 71.1W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 300SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 71.1W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N 71.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N 71.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.2N 70.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.4N 70.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 67.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.1N 68.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 38.5N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 71.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI