000
WTNT22 KNHC 171448
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  71.9W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  71.9W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  71.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.0N  71.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.6N  71.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.2N  71.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N  71.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 190SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.6N  70.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.5N  65.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  71.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI