000
WTNT22 KNHC 170848
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  71.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 120SE 180SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  71.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  71.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.0N  71.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.6N  71.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.6N  70.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N  67.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 39.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  71.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS