000
WTNT22 KNHC 162034
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  71.9W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  71.9W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  72.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.6N  71.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.9N  71.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.3N  71.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.8N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 150SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.1N  70.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 41.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  71.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG