000
WTNT22 KNHC 100847
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MARTIN
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  64.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  64.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  64.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.2N  66.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.2N  67.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.6N  69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.5N  68.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 26.3N  67.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 25.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 24.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/BLAKE