000 WTNT22 KNHC 090242 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA * SINT MAARTEN * ST. MARTIN * ST. BARTHELEMY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.3W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 50SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..255NE 135SE 165SW 195NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.3W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 58.8W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 60.8W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.1N 62.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.7N 64.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N 66.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.3N 68.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 26.8N 68.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N 66.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 59.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI