000 WTNT22 KNHC 080838 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0900 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF ST. BARTHELEMY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA * ST MAARTEN * ST. MARTIN * ST. BARTHELEMY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MONTSERRAT...ST KITTS...AND NEVIS * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 55.3W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 55.3W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.6N 57.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.3N 59.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 61.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.0N 63.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.5N 67.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 26.4N 68.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 27.9N 67.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 55.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS