000
WTNT22 KNHC 070854
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  48.3W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.2N  51.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N  54.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.4N  57.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.2N  59.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.7N  63.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 26.4N  69.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  49.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS