000
WTNT22 KNHC 060832
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0900 UTC WED SEP 06 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF JOSE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  42.8W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  42.8W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  42.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.7N  48.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.3N  50.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.9N  53.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.7N  57.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.4N  60.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.7N  63.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  42.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI