000
WTNT22 KNHC 052031
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF JOSE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  40.6W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  40.6W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N  42.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.6N  45.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.3N  48.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.9N  51.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N  56.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  50SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.7N  59.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  40.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA