000
WTNT22 KNHC 210237
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  56.7W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE  60SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  56.7W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  56.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N  58.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.9N  60.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  50SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N  62.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.9N  64.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.9N  59.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 39.2N  48.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  56.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI