000
WTNT22 KNHC 190837
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0900 UTC MON SEP 19 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  47.7W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  47.7W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  47.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.6N  49.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.1N  52.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  50SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.9N  54.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.0N  57.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.0N  62.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 27.0N  65.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.5N  65.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  47.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN