000
WTNT22 KNHC 190237
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0300 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  46.3W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  46.3W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  45.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.5N  48.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.1N  50.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.8N  53.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.7N  55.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.1N  60.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 26.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 28.8N  66.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  46.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI