000
WTNT22 KNHC 152037
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  31.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  31.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  30.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.9N  33.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N  36.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.8N  38.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.5N  41.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  31.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE