000
WTNT22 KNHC 151435
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  30.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  30.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  29.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.8N  32.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.9N  34.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.7N  37.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.4N  40.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N  45.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.7N  50.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  30.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE