000
WTNT22 KNHC 150831
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  29.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  29.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  28.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.8N  31.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N  33.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.9N  36.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.6N  39.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.7N  43.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N  53.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  29.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG